2025, 20(10): 569-574.
This study aims to identify the risk factors associated with distal symmetric
polyneuropathy (DSPN) in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and to develop a predictive model for
assessing the risk of DSPN. Methods: A total of 1,658 eligible T2DM patients were selected from Xiaogan
Hospital, affiliated with Wuhan University of Science and Technology, between July 2021 and July 2024.
General and clinical data were collected and then split into a training set and a validation set in a 7 ∶ 3 ratio.
LASSO regression and binary logistic regression were employed to develop a nomogram model using the
training set data, which was subsequently validated with the validation set data. The model’s accuracy,
discrimination, and clinical applicability were assessed using calibration curves, the area under the receiver
operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The analysis identified
duration of diabetes (OR=1.195, 95% CI: 1.116-1.280), fasting blood glucose (FPG) (OR=1.614, 95% CI:
1.435-1.816), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (OR=1.388, 95%CI: 1.042-1.849) and urinary microalbumin
(mALB) (OR=1.536, 95% CI: 1.113-2.120) as independent risk factors for DSPN. Conversely, high-density
lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) (OR=0.252, 95%CI: 0.160-0.397) and 25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D] (OR=
0.845, 95% CI: 0.825-0.864) were identified as independent protective factors. The nomogram model’s predicted
DSPN risk probability closely aligned with the actual probability, as demonstrated by the calibration curve. The
area under the curve (AUC) for DSPN prediction was 0.896 (95% CI: 0.878-0.913) in the training group and
0.888 (95%CI: 0.860-0.917) in the validation group. The decision curve analysis (DCA) indicated that the model
holds significant clinical value across a wide range of thresholds. Conclusion: This study successfully
developed a highly accurate nomogram prediction model based on key predictors, including diabetes duration, FPG, NLR, mALB,
HDL-C, and 25(OH)D.